Stein's Paradox and NFL Rushers

Author: Jon Greenberg [ profile | email ]

Abstract

Future performance is generally estimated by past performance. Stein's paradox defines circumstances in which there are estimators better than the arithmetic average. Stein's paradox has been applied to baseball players' predicted batting averages. The goal of this paper is to determine whether or not Stein's paradox is also applicable to NFL running backs and their average yards per carry.

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